Showing posts with label betting picks. Show all posts
Showing posts with label betting picks. Show all posts

The 5 Traits of A Highly Successful Football Bettor


Whether you bet football as a hobby or for a living, we all share one thing in common when we make up our mind to put our money down on a team - we want to win. There is no 100% chance of winning a football bet at any given time (although it can come quite close with enough information) but there are certain traits to follow if you want football-betting to prove a profitable venture for yourself in the long run.

In other words, you might not always be able to win the battle, but you can definitely win the war.

 


These are the 5 traits of a highly successful football bettor:

1. Discipline             

Without a doubt, the most important trait that a football-bettor can have.       
Without discipline, a successful bettor can lose all his winnings in one day.        
Without discipline, a losing bettor can run up huge debts that might prove life-ruining. In the long-run, you cannot win without discipline.
Discipline is essentially the will to remember how to control your betting patterns no matter how emotionally charged you are at the moment.
Challenges to discipline come in the form of:            
- "Absolute certainty" that you will win a certain match which makes you feel like risking an entire season's winnings on one match.
- Desperation from making too many losing bets and the hope that this last one will win and dig you out of all the problems you have gotten yourself into.
- Feeling invincible after making a few winning bets in succession. You just don't believe you can lose and test this repeatedly with ever-increasing bets.
- Greed.
- Stupidity (often goes hand in hand with Greed).

You might be able to get away with not paying any heed to discipline and making a profit sometimes. But this only serves to reinforce these bad habits with probably more dire consequences to come in the future.
You can instill self-discipline by following the other traits here which follow:

2. Diligence               

Always make a thorough analysis of match factors before placing your wager on a team. As it is, most people already do not have access to enough information for matches unless they have intimate connections with insiders like managers, players, club officials, etc.

Although the internet has leveled the playing field a little for football-bettors, there is still a vast difference between what a person with good connections has access to as compared with the kind of information one can find from other general sources. Hunches and intuition is well and good but in my betting career, I have not heard of anyone who has lasted long by making his bets based on hunches in the long run.

Match analysis is something that can be mastered with deep thought and enough practice. However, a common mistake is made when some bettors place successively winning bets. They tend to cut short the analysis process and base their selections on progressively less research/factors. Such an attitude limits true potential too wastefully.

If you are not one with an aptitude for match analysis, the very least you can do is to make sure you subscribe to a sports advisory service with a good record. Do some research on the internet and subscribe to a few reputable services for a couple of months to find the best one or two services.

3. Courage                

It takes a certain amount of courage to bet against what everyone else is betting on in football. When all your chums have their money on Chelsea, it is tough putting your money where your mouth is when it is Derby, even if the Asian Handicap is a 1.5 goal advantage.
And yet, you have to remember that this is exactly what the bookmakers are facing perennially. Ask yourself which is the party laughing all the way to the bank most times and you will find that it is more often than not, the bookies. The fact is, more than 95% of bettors lose in the long run. Don't be afraid to bet on the underdogs when your match analysis (or trusted tipster service) dictates so. There is a good chance you will win and the returns are always high when you do so.                               

4. Proper Planning                

Planning usually takes the fun out of betting somewhat for most people but is an important component of long-term betting success.             

Proper planning usually involves setting up a suitable betting bank and staking strategy. This aids in terms of discipline as having such a plan will make it easier not to make spur-of-the-moment decisions when it comes to amounts to stake.        

A good staking strategy protects the betting bank while allowing for progressive increases in wager amounts when the betting fund grows.           

Other useful factors to keep in mind when deciding on a suitable money management system would for example be, the targeted amount of winnings you would like to make by the end of the season, or each month. Knowing this will help you decide how aggressive you would want your plan to lean towards.              

The logical thing to do when you have got your plan down pat is to stick to it always. This way, there are fewer surprises.

5. Patience

Patience is purely a matter of the mind. If you’ve got the other traits mentioned above, it shouldn’t matter to you whether or not you bet the next game since there is always another one round the corner. If one is able to quantify patience, there would be a direct correlation between patience and profits and an inverse one with risk.

Patience aids discipline. Patience reminds you that you do not have to win all the money at once. There is always the next match, the next day and the next season. Understanding this prevents unnecessary risk and protects the betting bank.

How to bet on a football team to win - Best Betting Strategy



The most popular way to bet on football is on the outright win-draw-win market. This betting market allows you to bet on a team to win, or the match to be a draw.

In almost every instance you will get one team as favourite to win and the other team will be the outsider with the odds on the draw being pitched somewhere in between. Although people say bookmakers are never wrong, sometimes they over compensate for a favourite and their odds are therefore too short, leaving the value bet in the draw or the other team to win.

The best example of this is when the ‘better’ team are playing away from home. You will regularly see a strong away team under-priced on the betting market and this leaves the value in the draw bet or a bet on the home team to win, at more attractive odds. Using this football betting system also works if you are looking at accumulator bets, our advice would be to avoid short priced away teams in any multiple bets. Despite them being the stronger side on paper a look at their opposition is key and there are certainly some teams where the bigger clubs do not like to play e.g. Everton, Fulham and Sunderland.

When the ‘better’ team are playing at home you will often see some very unattractive odds e.g. 1/3, 1/4 or shorter. These odds are no good to the standard punter (betting £4 to get a return of £5 is hardly a fool-proof system) and in this instance picking a couple of short price home teams for an accumulator could be the better betting system, although the more selections you choose the bigger the risk.

Finally you could look at a betting system surrounding the draw market. When two teams are closely matched you will often find a short price for the draw (around 2/1) and these are probably best avoided but if the favourite is playing away from home the odds for the draw could be anything over 5/2, giving a respectable betting proposition and the value of the match.

The key with betting on the win-draw-win market is you have a good knowledge of the teams including any injuries or suspensions, the current form of both teams (both home and away) and the history of the fixture in question.
 If you stick to these simple rules then the system of betting on the outright market could make your football betting profitable.

Betting Tips

With sportsbetting as with everything else in life, it's important to set yourself a goal. If you don't have a goal with your betting, it may get out of hand. You may start betting every day, you may start betting harder to make up for earlier losses, you suddenly place impulsive bets, and the whole thing can become rather unpleasant. Therefore, take a few moments thinking over the following:

Risk profile
Who am I to tell you how you're going to bet, and where to place your bets ? You're right, I can only suggest, not command. There are no correct answers to how you should bet to make money. It all depends (among other things) on your risk profile. Therefore, an answer can only be given when you know your willingness to take risks. A punter who wants to win big money fast, often has a risky way of betting (betting on outsiders, often with high stakes). The opposite is the punter who's content with making a 10% profit on his bets. He has a rather low risk profile, and places his bets on a big favourite at low prices and very often with low stakes aswell.

Long term/short term
This is one of the most important things to decide. Do you bet on a short term basis, or long term ? If you bet long term, you're probably willing to bet on outsiders, with a relativly low matemathical chance of winning. In that way, you don't have to win each time, but when you do win, you win a lot because the odds on outsiders are high.
The question is: Have you got the patience to wait for the outsider. Will you loose patience, and start changing your strategy ?
The short-term punter will most likely bet on big favourites at small prices, and often with high stakes. He will feel he's winning often , but when he wins, the payback is so small, that one loss, and it's all down to scratch again. This is due to the bookie's fear of favourites. The relative value on favourites is often very slim, due to the fact that the bookie fear the favourites big chance of winning (thus a large payout for the bookie, as most punters bet on big favourites). In other words, you get less value out of each bet when you bet on big favourites, because they don't win as often as the prices offered reflect.

"Modus operandi"
Some people fancy a bet just to have some excitement watching a televised footballmatch or sport event. And that's OK. They don't care too much whether they win or loose. It's just for the sake of entertainment. And these people don't bet everyday, they've got a relaxed relation to sports betting. The opposite is punters who intend to win money on their betting, big money. Often these punters need to play often, and they bet on low-priced games, which the bookie is very aware of, and therefore has slashed the odds notably. Therefore, these punters don't get the long-term value which high-odds often provide.
But what happens when the "entertainment-punter" suddenly starts winning ?
Yes, correct, he suddenly starts increasing his stakes, because he feels he has been lucky or clever, he's betting more often than before, and then suddenly his money has gone. This is a result of human behaviour. It seems as if we, for some strange reason, want to loose the money we've won. When we win, we don't stop, and say: "Allright, I'm satisfied". No, we stretch the limits further, and suddenly we start loosing. And when we've crossed the limits, we really don't notice it, because now we're trying to get back what we've "lost". And then everything start going downhill. If you started with 100 $, then winning 500 $, you've got a nice profit.
Instead of taking the profit, you stretch the limits further, and suddenly you're down to 300 $. Still you've got a 200 % payoff, but you'll feel that 300 on the way down is much less than 300 on the way up, and therefore you'll continue betting without taking the 200 $ profit. Chances are that your profit has disappeared before you even realise what's happening...
This is somewhat self destructive, but it can be dealt with if you've got a minimum of self dicipline.

Dicipline
When you win, don't feel unbeatable, and start increasing your stakes straight away. Continue where you started, and remember that even though it's easy to win, it's even easier to loose what you've just gained. Ofcourse you should take your chances when you're in a winning streak, but keep in mind it's very easy to let it all get out of hand. When you're loosing, don't get tempted into irrational actions (dramaticly increasing the stakes, changing your strategy, bet on more games, etc). If your strategy has worked before, it will work again, it's all about dicipline and patience. Sometimes you will hit a bad run, and this is the time to show dicipline. Maybe take a few weeks break from betting, do something else and come back later.

Time
Have you got the time to gather info about the participants in the events, or do you just put in a bet every know and then just for the sake of excitement ? Analyse what kind of time you're willing to use on this hobby, and act thereafter.

Money
How much money have I got at my disposal ? How much can I afford to loose ? Never bet with borrowed money. Do not bet whith money who's intended used for housekeeping or other more important things than sports betting. Always keep in mind that you can loose all your money. Set yourself a target, and take the profit when you've reached the target, then start all over again. Example: If you start with 100 $, set a target of 500$. If you reach 500$, order a payout of 400$, and continue with your initial 100$. In this way, you'll see the fruits of your work, real cash, not only virtual money on the bookie's server.

Naturally interrested
Are you really interrested in sports, or do you bet just for the sake of the possible profit? If you enjoy sports, it's much easier to keep updated on what's going on, thus maybe having an extra edge on the bookie. If you feel that the whole thing is getting boring and no fun anymore, then it's time to call it a day. Do not bet just for the sake of a bet. When the motivation is gone, there's a big chance that you will lose patience and interest, and finally your money.

Best free website for betting tips picks

Best free website for betting tips picks


- search on google brought me this.. http://www.007soccerpicks.com/

- www.Betcube365.com is a sports betting community where tipsters around the world share betting tips and betting information. Also is a place where you can prove your betting ability in the betting world. Right now there are 322 Betting tips posted by our community tipsters.

- WinDrawWin is a good one too

- Some good website for soccer picks.
 1.Betting tips
 2.Betrush.com
 3.Emilija-Miha.bloger.hr
 4.TipsterWin.com
 5.maja-tips.com

- I follow www.mistertipster.eu the last year

- Not free but take a look at www.bettingresource.com. By far the best handicapping site in the industry. Let me know if anyone find any site that is even half as successful as bettingresource in the past 5 to 7 years.

- update later...


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